THP Market Daily: Market Overview

Date listed: September 13, 2025 (JST) | Applicable date: September 12, 2025

Against the backdrop of rising US stocks, the Nikkei average hit a record high

Buying mainly in AI-related stocks continued to rise, and the trend was strong. Europe is mixed.

Market Analysis

1. US Stocks

The Dow Joneswagen average continued to rise significantly, rising USD 617 to a new record high. The S&P 500 continues to rise, bringing a new record high. The Nasdaq continued to rise, setting a new record high. High-tech stocks are led.

2. Japanese Stocks

With the rise in US stocks as a handicap, the Nikkei average hit +395.62 yen and the closing price was 44,768.12 yen, making its consecutive record highs. Buying continues for AI-related products.

3. European Stocks

Major eurozone indices vary. The German DAX fell, while the French CAC40 rose.

4. Products and Interest

Waiting for detailed data.

Key indicators (tentative)

Gold (COMEX)
No information
Crude Oil (WTI)
No information
Dollar/yen
147.98 (147 yen 98 yen at one point, stalled just before 148 yen)

The numbers are either preliminary or unconfirmed, so they will be replaced with confirmed values ​​at a later date.

Walpurgis's perspective: While the dollar/yen moves to 148 yen, the rise in long-term interest rates and the end-of-month issue/redemption calendar tightens cash flow. The failure to hold (confirmed) of the US Treasury primary on September 30 suggests a distortion in supply and demand, and attention is paid to modulation in the short-term capital market.

Findings

There is a mismatch between strengthening stock momentum and rising funding costs. From the Walpurgis perspective, the more AI-led rises, the more likely it is to surface the vulnerability of government bond supply and demand and liquidity. Assuming that the primary will not be held on September 30th, we are wary of the spread of report interest rates and worsening bidding indicators.

T-18